Luck
“Nothing good comes in life or athletics unless a lot of hard work has preceded the effort. Only temporary success is achieved by taking short cuts.” - Roger Staubach

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49.66% Overall Luck

(50% represents average luck)
Hands / Situation Probability (Expectation) Actual Outcome Luck
Dealt a premium hand (AA-JJ, AK, or AQs) 3.32 % 3.22 %
48.5%
Dealt any pocket pair (AA-22) 5.88 % 5.77 %
49.04%
Dealt any suited connector (AKs-32s) 3.62 % 3.52 %
48.56%
Dealt two broadway cards (both cards Ten or better - pairs excluded) 12.07 % 12.02 %
49.8%
Dealt an Ace with a suited card (AKs - A2s) 3.62 % 3.67 %
50.73%
Saw flop with pocket pair. Flopped a set or better. 12.00 % 12.11 %
50.46%
Saw flop with unpaired hand. Flopped two pair or better (pair on board included) 6.33 % 6.42 %
50.69%
Saw flop with AK, AQ, AJ, or KQ. Flopped a pair or better (pair on board, straights, flushes included) 46.74 % 47.41 %
50.72%
Dealt two suited cards and went to river. Had flush or better.1 11.92 % 11.33 %
47.53%
Dealt JT, T9, 98, 87, 76, 65, or 54 and went to river. Had straight or better.1 18.66 % 18.89 %
50.61%
1,2 These are partially dependent on your playing style. The expectation given is a combination of probability and a typical APT user’s results.